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Inflation Expectations
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For More Information
A New Approach to Gauging Inflation Expectations
This
Economic Commentary
explains the mechanics of the model in easy-to-understand language and gives an overview of the estimates it produces and some ideas about how to interpret them.
Inflation: Noise, Risk, and Expectations
This
Economic Commentary
explains the advantages of the Cleveland Fed's estimates of inflation expectations over commonly used measures.
Inflation Expectations, Real Rates, and Risk Premia: Evidence from Inflation Swaps(
PDF)
This working paper documents the revised methodlogy of the model.
Estimating Real and Nominal Term Structures (
PDF)
This working paper contains the technical background on the original methodology of the model.
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Data (
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Cleveland Fed Inflation Expectations Archive
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