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Inflation and Prices

Economic Trends

• Why Are the CPI and the PCE Giving Different Estimates of Inflation?
• Long-term Inflation Expectations
• Survey Measures of Inflation Expectations
• What Can We Glean from October’s Report on Retail Prices?
• New Fed Policies and Market-Based Inflation Expectations
• Visualizing Disinflation…And No, We’re Not There Yet
• Survey Measures of Inflation Expectations
• On Target
• Market-based Inflation Expectations
• Adjustments to Seasonal Factors Alter Inflation Estimates
• Short- and Long-term Inflation Expectations
• Inflation Takes a Breather…
• Inflation in Developed Countries
• Recent Employment Cost Index Estimates
• Market-Based Inflation Expectations Reflect No Fear of Inflation in the Medium and Long-Term
• Core Prices Edge Up in July
• A Few Bad Apples Spoil June’s Price Statistics
• Short- and Long-term Inflation Expectations
• Wages, Expectations, and Prospects for Inflation
• Recent Developments in Inflation Expectations
• What to Make of Rising Gas Prices and Falling Household Energy Prices
• Some Prices Are Up, but Is That Inflation?
• The Accuracy of CPI Inflation Forecasts
• Inflation Swaps
• What’s Up with the Gap between the Core PCE and the Core CPI?
• Recent Developments in Inflation Expectations
• Inflation: Soft but Stable?
• Recent Developments in Prices and Inflation Expectations
• Getting a Clear Signal on Inflation
• Economic Projections from the April FOMC Meeting
• Prices are Falling, Prices are Falling!
• Survey-Based Measures of Inflation Expectations
• January Price Statistics or the Definition of "Subdued"
• Economic Projections from the January FOMC Meeting
• December Price Statistics
• November Price Statistics
• Measures of Economic Slack, Cost Pressure, and Inflation
• October Price Statistics
• September Price Statistics
• August Price Statistics
• July Price Statistics
• June Price Statistics
• May Price Statistics
• Putting the Current Recession in Perspective
• April Price Statistics
• March Price Statistics
• February Price Statistics
• The Recent Increase in the Volatility of Economic Indicators
• January Price Statistics
• December Price Statistics
• November Price Statistics
• October Price Statistics
• September Price Statistics
• August Price Statistics
• July Price Statistics
• June Price Statistics
• May Price Statistics
• April Price Statistics
• March Price Statistics
• February Price Statistics
• January Price Statistics
• December Price Statistics
• November Price Statistics
• Dollar Depreciations and Inflation
• Inflation Expectations
• October Price Statistics
• September Price Statistics
• August Price Statistics
• July Price Statistics
• June Price Statistics
• May Price Statistics
• April Price Statistics
• March Price Statistics
• February Price Statistics
• January Price Statistics
• Is Inflation Changing Its Ways?
• The Cost of Labor as an Inflation Indicator
• December Price Statistics
• Inflation Expectations
• Trimmed Mean CPI Inflation
• November Price Statistics
• March Price Statistics
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices, 1998 and 1923  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Rising Inflation  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Ohio Farmland Prices  (PDF)
• The Cost of Inflation  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Money, Inflation, and Exchange Rates  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Exchange Rates and Inflation  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Output, Inflation, and Unemployment  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)
• Inflation and Prices  (PDF)

Economic Commentary

• Forecasting Inflation? Target the Middle  (PDF)
• Why Are Interest Rates So Low?  (PDF)
• Do Rising Rents Complicate Inflation Assessment?  (PDF)
• The Future of Inflation  (PDF)
• Unemployment, Labor Costs, and Recessions: Implications for the Inflation Outlook  (PDF)
• Food and Energy Price Shocks: What Other Prices Are Affected?  (PDF)
• Do Commodity Prices Signal Inflation?  (PDF)
• Demographic Differences in Inflation Expectations: What Do They Really Mean?  (PDF)
• Simple Ways to Forecast Inflation: What Works Best?  (PDF)
• Inflation: Noise, Risk, and Expectations  (PDF)
• Are Some Prices in the CPI More Forward Looking than Others? We Think So.  (PDF)
• A New Approach to Gauging Inflation Expectations  (PDF)
• Rising Relative Prices or Inflation: Why Knowing the Difference Matters  (PDF)
• Central Bank Independence: The Key to Price Stability?  (PDF)
• Inflation, Banking, and Economic Growth  (PDF)
• Oil Prices, Monetary Policy, and the Macroeconomy  (PDF)
• Rethinking the Welfare Cost of Inflation  (PDF)
• Oil Prices: Backward to the Future?  (PDF)
• Expected Inflation and TIPS  (PDF)
• What Is the Right Inflation Rate?  (PDF)
• The Taylor Rule: A Guidepost for Monetary Policy?  (PDF)
• Information and Prices  (PDF)
• Do Energy Price Spikes Cause Inflation?  (PDF)
• Why Are TIIS Yields So High? The Case of the Missing Inflation-Risk Premium  (PDF)
• Is It More Expensive, or Does It Just Cost More Money?  (PDF)
• Monetary Policy Rules and Stability: Inflation Targeting versus Price-Level Targeting  (PDF)
• The Curiously Different Inflation Perspectives of Men and Women  (PDF)
• The Demographics of Inflation Opinion Surveys  (PDF)
• On the Cost of Inflation  (PDF)
• Perils of Price Deflations: An Analysis of the Great Depression  (PDF)
• Money Demand and Inflation in Peru, 1979-91  (PDF)
• Money Growth and Inflation: Does Fiscal Policy Matter?  (PDF)
• Maintaining a Low Inflation Environment
• The consumer price index and national saving  (PDF)
• Monetary policy and inflation: 1993 in perspective  (PDF)
• Skepticism about the direction of inflation: causes, costs and cures  (PDF)
• Gilt by association: uncovering expected inflation  (PDF)
• Median price changes: an alternative approach to measuring current monetary inflation  (PDF)
• Forecast Accuracy and Monetary Policy  (PDF)
• Inflation and Growth: Working More versus Working Better  (PDF)
• How Soft a Landing?  (PDF)
• Breaking the Inflation-Recession Cycle  (PDF)
• Inflation and Soft Landing Prospects  (PDF)
• Assessing and Resisting Inflation  (PDF)
• The Case for Zero Inflation  (PDF)
• Stable Inflation Fosters Sound Economic Decisions  (PDF)
• Monetary Policy in the 1980s  (PDF)
• Collective Bargaining and Disinflation  (PDF)
• Do Deficits Cause Inflation?  (PDF)
• Anatomy of a Price-Fix  (PDF)
• The Consumer Price Index: Concepts, Construction, and Controversy  (PDF)
• Inflation and Cost-of-Living Adjustment Clauses  (PDF)

Policy Discussion Papers

• Inflation and Welfare: A Search Approach  (PDF)
• Does Wage Inflation Cause Price Inflation?  (PDF)

Working Papers

• It’s Not Just for Inflation: The Usefulness of the Median CPI in BVAR Forecasting  (PDF)
• Trimmed-Mean Inflation Statistics: Just Hit the One in the Middle  (PDF)
• A Bayesian Evaluation of Alternative Models of Trend Inflation  (PDF)
• The Term Structure of Inflation Compensation in the Nominal Yield Curve  (PDF)
• Inflation Expectations, Real Rates, and Risk Premia: Evidence from Inflation Swaps  (PDF)
• Estimating Real and Nominal Term Structures using Treasury Yields, Inflation, Inflation Forecasts, and Inflation Swap Rates  (PDF)
• Money and Capital  (PDF)
• Inflation-Output Gap Trade-off with a Dominant Oil Supplier  (PDF)
• Incomplete Markets and Households’ Exposure to Interest Rate and Inflation Risk: Implications for the Monetary Policy Maker  (PDF)
• State-Dependent Pricing, Inflation, and Welfare in Search Econom  (PDF)
• Testing Near-Rationality Using Detailed Survey Data  (PDF)
• Firm-Specifc Capital, Nominal Rigidities, and the Business Cycle  (PDF)
• Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-off  (PDF)
• Inflation, Output, and Welfare  (PDF)
• Capital Trading, Stock Trading, and the Inflation Tax on Equity: A Note  (PDF)
• Inflation and Financial Market Performance: What Have We Learned in the Last Ten Years?  (PDF)
• Pricing Kernels, Inflation, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates  (PDF)
• Do Energy-Price Shocks Affect Core-Price Measures?  (PDF)
• Imperfect capital markets and nominal wage rigidities  (PDF)
• Does It Matter (for Equilibrium Determinacy) What Price Index the Central Bank Targets?  (PDF)
• Efficient Inflation Expectation  (PDF)
• Estimating the Cost of U.S. Indexed Bonds  (PDF)
• Inflation and Financial Market Performance  (PDF)
• Measuring core inflation  (PDF)
• Zero inflation: transition costs and shoe-leather benefits  (PDF)
• Inflation, personal taxes, and real output: a dynamic analysis  (PDF)
• Inflation and the Personal Tax Code: Assessing Indexation  (PDF)
• In Defense of Zero Inflation  (PDF)

Other Publications

• Recent Increases in Inflation Likely to Be Temporary, Says Cleveland Fed Researcher
• How do we know when people are worried about inflation?  (PDF)
• Interview with Mark Bils  (PDF)
• Is an explicit inflation objective consistent with a dual mandate?  (PDF)
• Will mounting U.S. debt spark inflation?  (PDF)
• Economic outlook topic of President Pianalto speech
• Outlook for the Economy and Inflation
• Conference on Price Measurement for Monetary Policy
• Inflation, Inflation Expectations, and Monetary Policy
• Firms’ Wage Adjustments: A Break from the Past?  (PDF)

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