Households' Preferences Over Inflation and Monetary Policy Tradeoffs
We document novel facts about US household preferences over inflation and monetary policy tradeoffs. Many households were attentive to news about monetary policy and to interest rates in 2023. The median household perceives the Federal Reserve's inflation objective to be 3 percent, but would prefer it to be lower. Quantifying the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment, we find an average acceptable sacrifice ratio of 0.6, implying that households are likely to find disinflation costly. Average preferences are well represented by a non-linear loss function with near equal weights on inflation and unemployment. These preferences also exhibit sizable demographic heterogeneity.
Working Papers of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment on research in progress. They may not have been subject to the formal editorial review accorded official Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland publications. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland or the Federal Reserve System.
Suggested Citation
Pfajfar, Damjan, and Fabian Winkler. 2025. “Households' Preferences Over Inflation and Monetary Policy Tradeoffs.” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Working Paper No. 25-12. https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202512
This work by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
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